tennis - Cincinnati

[mjred]

taking
ginepri +100 over stepanek (pinn) not much to say on his behalf other than i have him rated considerably better on hard ct. poor showing last week but was strong at indianapolis, where he made the 1/4s.

tempted by acasuso at +240 as it looks like a big overlay (i have martin -200 at most) but will pass

gl

mj

 

[UT-Longhorn]

any thoughts for the anti-martin? Just wondering, bout to make a wager and may hold off depending on your thoughts......thanks in advance.....

 

[mjred]

sorry, geting kinda close to first ball, but my only thought is that this is a big overlay, i couldn't really say why (the big overlay is there) but numbers have martin more like -200 here. he has not had a good past few tournaments. no reason not to fade him that i can see. only reason i'm not is that i'm trying to limit plays a bit.

gl

 

[UT-Longhorn]

thanks for the info. Tell me, I have a few pending bets on the womens side, and they just stopped play for rain--this was about an hour ago now--how long before they call the matches? Will the books refund $$$? Didnt even get to the first match.......

 

[mjred]

well utguy, money continues to flow on martin, so maybe you right about that one. don't usually have too many squares betting tennis, tho sometimes money does follow money blindly. i had wrong start time in my mind earlier, still have about 45 minutes now according to time posted at carib.

still a pass for me tho. gl whatever you decide.

 

[UT-Longhorn]

thanks, I WAS going to bet on him, but ALL my $$$ is tied up on PRATT, and they just delayed that match due to rain, and its been delayed about an hour now, not sure what is going to happen......my girl was up when they delayed it, not sure what will happen.......doubt ill get a refund before that match goes off........

 

[Railbird]

becarefull laying 600ish on nicole, not to wise imo. she is a midget and other girls moon ball her.

 

[Railbird]

btw ut,

I am white hot in wta currently, in fact am going to play exclusive girls and LL for next 3 weeks.

 

[mjred]

ginepri drops the second set but bery convincing in the other 2.


today taking vicente +155 over nieminen
not super high on this match but looks to me as the best dog value of the day.

also using a parlay of:
nalbandian/saretta/ferrero pays +140

gl

mj

wk 1-0, +1.00
overall 15-6, +15.85

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Hey, do yall have any thoughts on this matchup today?
F.Lopez +110 vs P.Srichaphan

 

[UT-Longhorn]

great Record MJ!

By the way, do you feel very strong about any of the women's heavy favorites today? Just wondering........

 

[ShinySuitMan]

hey mjred i also like vincente today he should be fav?!

heaps value there

i also took parlay jc ferrero/hewitt/kuerton

did u hit santoro man!? haha 410 huge!

i had lopez 1.40 so 218 represents mega value!

fish costa koubak corretja also value

saretta been dumped already was value at 140 now 131.. gl today wif plays may the dogs roll on! us open is anyones game!

 

[ShinySuitMan]

had aboit of a blowout day down half a unit.. but thats ok

corretja would have mae it a winning day for me by a long way! he definately should not have been 321 thats for sure.. always bet up value.. vincente was value regardless of th result

fish/lopez/el aynaoui/kafelnikov were good results.. keep attacking guys! value value!!!

whats up wif hewitt?! i seen somewhere yesterday he is not even in the top money earners this year?! is he on fvckin drugs? lol

 

[mjred]

ut - sorry didn't get back to you, didn't notice the post until too late, hope you cashed with lopez. as far as the womans go, i don't follow it too closely, i like the men's tour due to the parity and we can often see value with dog plays.

ssm, watched most of the hewitt match, he seemed fairly disinterested. not sure what his problem is, i guess when you've been #1 and pretty much won everything, and have all the money you need, its a lot harder to get up all the time. he needs to find the motivation to win again, like agassi did after he dropped off the charts.

 

[mjred]

blake +100

arazi +145

(carib)

i think a lot of people fading arazi because of the chang match, but that match was wierd imo, chang played very tentatively in the second set and that play seemed to affect arazi, after he got by in the tiebreak, he blew chang away in the 3rd. hope he can maintain that level here. i have him should be fave in this match.

blake, also should be fave by my ratings, like his form right now. he'll have some crowd support as well.

may have something later.

gl

mj

yesterday 1-1 +0.40
wk 2-1, +1.4
overall 16-7, +16.25

 

[ShinySuitMan]

mj i agree wif u about azari! i had him 135 lol so 239 is gold at canbet

i have disagree wif u bout blake.. he been hyped up in media fair bit as taken over the shoes of sampras, aggassi and the like.. i actually had schalken at 140! so i not so sure blake should be fav but gl wif play man.. blake has been in good form of late

other plays i like are.. canbet

enqvist 249, kafelni 270!? saretta 200, el aynaoui(why is he always overs?) i actually like to start to fade roddick..(maybe a-rod is banging mandy moore too hard rite now)lol and Ljubicic takes the encounter at 478! fish 184(watch out for fish in us open) rusedski 191, chela 228, nalbandian at 267(federer saved 7 match points against scott draper?) todd martin 215, okun 321 and my only real shrot price is jc ferrero(who i had at 112 lol) 137 is overs

maybe its time for hewitt to get the rocky tapes out and pump himself up! COME ON!!!!!!!! i dont know what the deal is man.. yea he hasnt had good year at all.. its tough sometimes when u at top everyone guns for u.. its tough to stay there but im sure he will be back soon!

gl everyone wif all there plays today..

us open is anyones tournie this year for sure!

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Good call on Arazi!

 

[UT-Longhorn]

Like any of the late action that is left?

 

[jwunderdog]

2-0 mnice run MJ.

 

[Railbird]

arazi has lots of talent but no mind